August 2019 Meetup: Field Trip: Depolarizing the Politics Within

1. A Human’s Guide to Words:

What are words, how are they useful, how can they be wrong, how can we avoid being wrong?

Drawn from this sequence:

2. Inside/outside views :

People are oftentimes bad at estimation. This can oftentimes be improved by reference class forecasting (“Outside view”).

How should we weight different outside views against our inside view? When should we favor some over the others?