1. A Human’s Guide to Words:
What are words, how are they useful, how can they be wrong, how can we avoid being wrong?
Drawn from this sequence: https://www.lesswrong.com/s/SGB7Y5WERh4skwtnb
2. Inside/outside views :
People are oftentimes bad at estimation. This can oftentimes be improved by reference class forecasting (“Outside view”).
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/CPm5LTwHrvBJCa9h5/planning-fallacy
https://wiki.lesswrong.com/wiki/Outside_view
How should we weight different outside views against our inside view? When should we favor some over the others?
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/pqoxE3AGMbse68dvb/the-outside-view-s-domain
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/w9KWNWFTXivjJ7rjF/the-weak-inside-view
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/iyRpsScBa6y4rduEt/model-combination-and-adjustment
